Before Jul 1, 2026 · Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before
Before Jul 1, 2026 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before.
Price history
1¢ current
−48¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jul 1, 2026
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 10¢
Range
1¢-10¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSUPREMELEADER-27JAN01-JUL01
Jun 23, 2026, 2:47 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$33K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSUPREMELEADER-27JAN01-JUL01
Event family
Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 10¢
Current share
0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXTRUMPSUPREMELEADER-27JAN01-JAN01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPSUPREMELEADER-27JAN01-SEP01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPSUPREMELEADER-27JAN01-AUG01
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXTRUMPSUPREMELEADER-27JAN01-JUL01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.