Drake · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31
Drake is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31.
Price history
39¢ current
+37¢Contract brief
If Drake is or if it is announced that Drake is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Drake
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Miley Cyrus 38¢
Range
1¢-38¢
Family volume
$342
Identifier
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-DRA
Aug 10, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
29¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$342
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Drake is or if it is announced that Drake is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-DRA
Event family
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$342
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Miley Cyrus 38¢
Current share
1%
Miley Cyrus
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-MIL
Radiohead
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-RAD
Olivia Dean
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-OLI
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-TAY
Dua Lipa
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-CUA
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-JUS
Drake
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-DRA
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ARI
sombr
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-SOM
Bruno Mars
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BRU
21 Savage
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-21S
2 Chainz
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-2CH
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ADD
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ALE
Anuel AA
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ANU
Lil Baby
kalshi · KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-BAB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 39% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.