Drew Rasmussen · KXMLBALCY-26
Drew Rasmussen is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXMLBALCY-26.
Price history
3¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Drew Rasmussen wins the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Drew Rasmussen
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Dylan Cease 47¢
Range
1¢-47¢
Family volume
$14K
Identifier
KXMLBALCY-26-DRAS
Jul 12, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$130
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALCY-26
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$14K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Drew Rasmussen wins the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALCY-26-DRAS
Event family
KXMLBALCY-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$14K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Dylan Cease 47¢
Current share
1%
Dylan Cease
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-DCEA
Cam Schlittler
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-CSCH
Sonny Gray
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-SGRA
Drew Rasmussen
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-DRAS
Logan Gilbert
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-LGILB
Joe Ryan
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-JRYA
Will Parker Messick win AL Cy Young: Parker Messick
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-PMES
Jacob Degrom
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-JDEG
Gavin Williams
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-GWIL
Tarik Skubal
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-TSKU
Aroldis Chapman
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-ACHA
Brayan Bello
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-BBEL
Bryce Miller
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-BMIL
Bryan Woo
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-BWOO
Casey Mize
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-CMIZ
Cole Ragans
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-CRAG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.