EBay Inc. report Above $85 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026
Above $85 billion is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Will eBay Inc. report Above $.
Price history
96¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If eBay Inc. reports Above 85000000000.0 gross merchandise volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $85 billion
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Above $84 billion 98¢
Range
7¢-98¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-85000000000.0
Jun 28, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$220
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · Will eBay Inc. report Above $
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If eBay Inc. reports Above 85000000000.0 gross merchandise volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Identifier
KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-85000000000.0
Event family
Will eBay Inc. report Above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above $84 billion 98¢
Current share
—
Above $84 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-84000000000.0
Above $84.5 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-84500000000.0
Above $85 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-85000000000.0
Above $85.5 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-85500000000.0
Above $86 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-86000000000.0
Above $86.5 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-86500000000.0
Above $87 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-87000000000.0
Above $87.5 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-87500000000.0
Above $88 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-88000000000.0
Above $88.5 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-88500000000.0
Above $89 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-89000000000.0
Above $89.5 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-89500000000.0
Above $90 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-90000000000.0
Above $90.5 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-90500000000.0
Above $91 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-91000000000.0
Above $91.5 billion
kalshi · KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-91500000000.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.