Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 above $2.4 trillion
Above $2.4 trillion is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside Will Elon Musk's net worth.
Price history
5¢ current
−21¢Contract brief
If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $2.4 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $2.4 trillion
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Above $1.0 trillion 22¢
Range
1¢-22¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2400
Jun 26, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Elon Musk's net worth
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $2.4 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2400
Event family
Will Elon Musk's net worth.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above $1.0 trillion 22¢
Current share
—
Above $1.0 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1000
Above $1.2 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1200
Above $1.1 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1100
Above $1.4 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1400
Above $1.3 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1300
Above $1.6 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1600
Above $2.1 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2100
Above $2.3 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2300
Above $2.4 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2400
Above $1.5 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1500
Above $1.7 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1700
Above $1.8 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1800
Above $1.9 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1900
Above $2.0 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2000
Above $2.2 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2200
Above $2.5 trillion
kalshi · KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2500
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.