Will Elon Musk leave DOGE?
Kalshi
8 contracts
Polymarket
12 contracts
Analysis
There is no direct prediction market data regarding the resignation or departure of Elon Musk from a government efficiency role. Current market signals indicate a low probability of significant federal spending cuts before 2028, with prediction markets pricing a less than 10% chance for major reductions.
- ›No market data on Musk efficiency role
- ›Less than 10% chance of major government spending cuts
- ›TSLA trading at $392.34
- ›Low market confidence in large-scale fiscal reduction
Contracts
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1160-1199
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1200-1239
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1240-1279
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1120-1159
Will Elon Musk visit New York City before Jun 1, 2026?: Elon Musk
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1320-1359
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1040-1079
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1280-1319
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1080-1119
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?: 1000-1039
Will Elon Musk win Musk v. Altman et al?: Before 2027
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?: Before 2027
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Will Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026 be above $620 billion?: Above $620 billion
Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Elon Musk
Who will be the next CEO of X?: Elon Musk
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Will Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026 be above $700 billion?: Above $700 billion
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?: Elon Musk
What will Vivek Ramaswamy say during Turning Point Tour at Ohio State University?: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency