SimpleFunctions

Emeka Egbuka · KXNFLSEASONREC-27C75

Emeka Egbuka is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONREC-27C75.

Price history

40¢ current

+19¢
20¢30¢40¢
Jun 22, 2026Jul 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Emeka Egbuka records 75+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Emeka Egbuka

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

DeVonta Smith 64¢

Range

1¢-64¢

Family volume

$18

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONREC-27C75-EEGBUKA2

Jul 9, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

40¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 9, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

41¢

Spread

15¢

Reported volume

$905

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONREC-27C75

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$18

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 41¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
26¢5
25¢500
20¢10
AskSize
41¢500
98¢5.0K
99¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Emeka Egbuka records 75+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONREC-27C75-EEGBUKA2

SF Signal
SF Index
250.08
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

500.2%

IY (No)

61.7%

Adj IY

250%

CRI

3

Overround

3.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

500.2%
61.7%
Adj IY
250%
3
Overround
3.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.