Will George Pickens record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 35% across 14 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
35%
14 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$1K
14 contracts
Closes
Feb 2, 2027
209 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
12 clusters across 14 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will Emeka Egbuka record” vs “Will George Pickens record 1”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Emeka Egbuka record
Will Emeka Egbuka record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Emeka Egbuka
KXNFLSEASONREC-27C75-EEGBUKA2
Will Emeka Egbuka record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: Emeka Egbuka
KXNFLSEASONREC-27C100-EEGBUKA2
Cluster 2
Will George Pickens record 1
Will George Pickens record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: George Pickens
KXNFLSEASONREC-27C100-GPICKENS3
Will George Pickens record 120+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: George Pickens
KXNFLSEASONREC-27C120-GPICKENS3
Cluster 3
Will Terry McLaurin record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 4
Will Tyler Warren record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 5
Will Wan'Dale Robinson record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 6
Will Christian Watson record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 7
Will Ricky Pearsall record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 8
Will A.J. Brown record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 9
Will Brock Bowers record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 10
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 11
Will Drake London record 120+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Cluster 12
Will De'Von Achane record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Analysis
This reflects a 70% probability that George Pickens will catch 100 or more passes during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Pickens is a second-year receiver whose 2025 performance and target volume will largely determine the likelihood of reaching this threshold. Most receivers achieving 100-reception seasons operate in high-volume passing offenses or serve as the primary receiving option. The resolution depends on data available after the 2026 season concludes (February 2027), when final NFL statistics are compiled. Key uncertainty factors include his role within the Pittsburgh Steelers offense, quarterback play and consistency, injury availability over a full 17-game season, and how target distribution evolves as the team's receiving corps matures. Comparable probabilities for other receivers like A.J. Brown (85%) and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (95%) suggest market confidence varies considerably based on established track records and offensive context.
- ›Pickens' 2025 season reception total and target share will establish baseline expectations for 2026 performance
- ›The Steelers' passing game approach and depth chart composition determine whether Pickens receives sufficient target volume
- ›Pickens must maintain full season availability across all 17 games, as injuries significantly reduce reception accumulation
- ›Quarterback consistency and decision-making impact target allocation and completion rates to Pickens
- ›100 receptions historically requires either elite volume (8+ targets per game) or efficiency at conversion rates above 65%, constraining the range of likely scenarios
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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