Will Emma Chamberlain go on Call Her Daddy?

25¢

Bid/Ask 22/32¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jan 1, 2027·259d remaining

KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-EMM

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 25¢ price potentially unreliable despite the long 259-day runway to resolution. The 499.2% implied yield on the Yes side is unusually high and likely reflects the illiquidity premium rather than genuine probability assessment, while the 10¢ spread is substantial relative to the contract value. With a Cliff Risk Index of 4 and neutral regime, this appears to be a speculative contract awaiting either significant news about Emma Chamberlain's podcast appearances or market participants willing to provide liquidity.

Resolution rules

If Emma Chamberlain goes on Call Her Daddy before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.4%

IY (No) 39.7%

Adj IY 136%

CRI 4

Overround 6.3%

LAS 0.45

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	39.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	136%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.45	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/17/2026, 11:51:39 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/17/2026, 11:38:51 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-EMM yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →