Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 7% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
7%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
148 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
20 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Addison Rae go on Call Her Daddy
Will Addison Rae go on Call Her Daddy?: Addison Rae
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ADD
Cluster 2
Will Alex Morgan go on Call Her Daddy
Will Alex Morgan go on Call Her Daddy?: Alex Morgan
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ALE
Cluster 3
Will Alix Earle go on Call Her Daddy
Will Alix Earle go on Call Her Daddy?: Alix Earle
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ALI
Cluster 4
Will Anya Taylor-Joy go on Call Her Daddy
Will Anya Taylor-Joy go on Call Her Daddy?: Anya Taylor-Joy
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ANY
Cluster 5
Will Ariana Grande go on Call Her Daddy
Will Ariana Grande go on Call Her Daddy?: Ariana Grande
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ARI
Cluster 6
Will Austin Butler go on Call Her Daddy
Will Austin Butler go on Call Her Daddy?: Austin Butler
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-AUS
Cluster 7
Will Bella Poarch go on Call Her Daddy
Will Bella Poarch go on Call Her Daddy?: Bella Poarch
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-BEL
Cluster 8
Will Billie Eilish go on Call Her Daddy
Will Billie Eilish go on Call Her Daddy?: Billie Eilish
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-BIL
Cluster 9
Will Britney Spears go on Call Her Daddy
Will Britney Spears go on Call Her Daddy?: Britney Spears
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-BRI
Cluster 10
Will Caitlin Clark go on Call Her Daddy
Will Caitlin Clark go on Call Her Daddy?: Caitlin Clark
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-CAI
Cluster 11
Will Charli D’Amelio go on Call Her Daddy
Will Charli D’Amelio go on Call Her Daddy?: Charli D’Amelio
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-CHA
Cluster 12
Will Coco Gauff go on Call Her Daddy
Will Coco Gauff go on Call Her Daddy?: Coco Gauff
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-COC
Cluster 13
Will Doja Cat go on Call Her Daddy
Will Doja Cat go on Call Her Daddy?: Doja Cat
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-DOJ
Cluster 14
Will Dua Lipa go on Call Her Daddy
Will Dua Lipa go on Call Her Daddy?: Dua Lipa
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-DUA
Cluster 15
Will Emma Chamberlain go on Call Her Daddy
Will Emma Chamberlain go on Call Her Daddy?: Emma Chamberlain
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-EMM
Cluster 16
Will Florence Pugh go on Call Her Daddy
Will Florence Pugh go on Call Her Daddy?: Florence Pugh
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-FLO
Cluster 17
Will Hailey Bieber go on Call Her Daddy
Will Hailey Bieber go on Call Her Daddy?: Hailey Bieber
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-HAI
Cluster 18
Will Ice Spice go on Call Her Daddy
Will Ice Spice go on Call Her Daddy?: Ice Spice
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ICE
Cluster 19
Will Jacob Elordi go on Call Her Daddy
Will Jacob Elordi go on Call Her Daddy?: Jacob Elordi
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-JAC
Cluster 20
Will Jenna Ortega go on Call Her Daddy
Will Jenna Ortega go on Call Her Daddy?: Jenna Ortega
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-JEN
Analysis
This probability represents the estimated likelihood that Miley Cyrus will appear as a guest on the Call Her Daddy podcast hosted by Alex Cooper. At 10%, the market suggests it's considered an unlikely event relative to other potential celebrity guests. The current level likely reflects Cyrus's selective podcast appearance history and her tendency toward traditional media outlets. Upward pressure would come from Cyrus entering a promotional cycle for a new album or film requiring media appearances, while downward pressure would result from her consistently declining podcast invitations or publicly stating a preference to avoid the format. The resolution hinges on whether Cyrus announces or completes a Call Her Daddy appearance before the contract's deadline. Similar contracts for other celebrities show comparable low probabilities, suggesting Call Her Daddy guest appearance markets price in moderate baseline skepticism about celebrity participation.
- ›Miley Cyrus's historical podcast participation rates and publicly stated preferences about media format choices
- ›Call Her Daddy's guest booking patterns and whether Cyrus has been approached or courted by the show previously
- ›Any scheduled album release, tour announcement, or promotional campaign for Cyrus between now and contract expiration that typically triggers media tour activity
- ›Competitive factors: the 10% probability sits below Olivia Rodrigo (11%) and Addison Rae (13%), suggesting relative ranking among likely guests
- ›Public statements or social media signals from Cyrus regarding podcast appearances or her relationship with call-in/long-form interview formats
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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