Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 21% across 19 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
21%
19 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$4
19 contracts
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
237 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
19 clusters across 19 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Alex Morgan go on Call Her Daddy
Will Alex Morgan go on Call Her Daddy?: Alex Morgan
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ALE
Cluster 2
Will Hailey Bieber go on Call Her Daddy
Will Hailey Bieber go on Call Her Daddy?: Hailey Bieber
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-HAI
Cluster 3
Will Kylie Jenner go on Call Her Daddy
Will Kylie Jenner go on Call Her Daddy?: Kylie Jenner
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-KYL
Cluster 4
Will Kim Kardashian go on Call Her Daddy
Will Kim Kardashian go on Call Her Daddy?: Kim Kardashian
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-KIM
Cluster 5
Will Kendall Jenner go on Call Her Daddy
Will Kendall Jenner go on Call Her Daddy?: Kendall Jenner
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-KEN
Cluster 6
Will Megan Fox go on Call Her Daddy
Will Megan Fox go on Call Her Daddy?: Megan Fox
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-MEG
Cluster 7
Will Addison Rae go on Call Her Daddy
Will Addison Rae go on Call Her Daddy?: Addison Rae
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ADD
Cluster 8
Will Madelyn Cline go on Call Her Daddy
Will Madelyn Cline go on Call Her Daddy?: Madelyn Cline
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-MAD
Cluster 9
Will Sydney Sweeney go on Call Her Daddy
Will Sydney Sweeney go on Call Her Daddy?: Sydney Sweeney
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-SYD
Cluster 10
Will Ice Spice go on Call Her Daddy
Will Ice Spice go on Call Her Daddy?: Ice Spice
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ICE
Cluster 11
Will Taylor Swift go on Call Her Daddy
Will Taylor Swift go on Call Her Daddy?: Taylor Swift
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-TAY
Cluster 12
Will Olivia Rodrigo go on Call Her Daddy
Will Olivia Rodrigo go on Call Her Daddy?: Olivia Rodrigo
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-OLI
Cluster 13
Will Billie Eilish go on Call Her Daddy
Will Billie Eilish go on Call Her Daddy?: Billie Eilish
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-BIL
Cluster 14
Will Ariana Grande go on Call Her Daddy
Will Ariana Grande go on Call Her Daddy?: Ariana Grande
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ARI
Cluster 15
Will Dua Lipa go on Call Her Daddy
Will Dua Lipa go on Call Her Daddy?: Dua Lipa
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-DUA
Cluster 16
Will Doja Cat go on Call Her Daddy
Will Doja Cat go on Call Her Daddy?: Doja Cat
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-DOJ
Cluster 17
Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy
Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy?: Miley Cyrus
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-MIL
Cluster 18
Will Tate McRae go on Call Her Daddy
Will Tate McRae go on Call Her Daddy?: Tate McRae
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-TAT
Cluster 19
Will Zendaya go on Call Her Daddy
Will Zendaya go on Call Her Daddy?: Zendaya
KXPODCASTGUESTCALLHERDADDY-27JAN-ZEN
Analysis
This probability estimates the likelihood that Miley Cyrus will appear as a guest on the Call Her Daddy podcast hosted by Alex Cooper. At 19%, the market suggests traders view this outcome as unlikely but not impossible. The low probability likely reflects Cyrus's relatively infrequent podcast appearances and the lack of any public indication of scheduled plans. The probability could move higher if Cyrus publicly hints at participation, announces a new album cycle requiring promotional interviews, or if Cooper's guest roster for 2026 increasingly includes major music industry figures. The probability could fall if Cyrus explicitly declines similar interview opportunities or if the podcast winds down operations. Near-term movement will depend on whether any surprise guest announcements occur, as Call Her Daddy typically publicizes major guests in advance. Without scheduled dates or confirmed interest from either party, sustained resolution will likely occur through end-of-year verification.
- ›Miley Cyrus's historical frequency of podcast guest appearances and whether 2026 includes a major promotional campaign requiring media rounds
- ›Prior collaborative history between Cyrus and Alex Cooper or Call Her Daddy, including any previous interview offers or public interactions
- ›Call Her Daddy's guest booking patterns in 2026 and whether music industry figures remain a primary focus for the show
- ›Public statements from either Cyrus or Cooper regarding podcast participation or mutual interest
- ›Industry calendar visibility—whether Cyrus announces new music, tours, or other projects requiring promotional interviews before year-end
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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