SimpleFunctions
19 contractsKalshirefreshed 3 min agoCloses Jan 1, 2027 · 237d

Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 21% across 19 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

21%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

21%

19 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$4

19 contracts

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

237 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 41% (28 days, 28 points)Aggregate: 41% on 2026-05-08
Aggregate of 19 contracts · 28d

Bracket families

19 clusters across 19 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will Alex Morgan go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$4

Cluster 2

Will Hailey Bieber go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 3

Will Kylie Jenner go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 4

Will Kim Kardashian go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 5

Will Kendall Jenner go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 6

Will Megan Fox go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 7

Will Addison Rae go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 8

Will Madelyn Cline go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 9

Will Sydney Sweeney go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 10

Will Ice Spice go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 11

Will Taylor Swift go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 12

Will Olivia Rodrigo go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 13

Will Billie Eilish go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 14

Will Ariana Grande go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 15

Will Dua Lipa go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 16

Will Doja Cat go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 17

Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 18

Will Tate McRae go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Cluster 19

Will Zendaya go on Call Her Daddy

1 contract$0

Analysis

This probability estimates the likelihood that Miley Cyrus will appear as a guest on the Call Her Daddy podcast hosted by Alex Cooper. At 19%, the market suggests traders view this outcome as unlikely but not impossible. The low probability likely reflects Cyrus's relatively infrequent podcast appearances and the lack of any public indication of scheduled plans. The probability could move higher if Cyrus publicly hints at participation, announces a new album cycle requiring promotional interviews, or if Cooper's guest roster for 2026 increasingly includes major music industry figures. The probability could fall if Cyrus explicitly declines similar interview opportunities or if the podcast winds down operations. Near-term movement will depend on whether any surprise guest announcements occur, as Call Her Daddy typically publicizes major guests in advance. Without scheduled dates or confirmed interest from either party, sustained resolution will likely occur through end-of-year verification.

  • Miley Cyrus's historical frequency of podcast guest appearances and whether 2026 includes a major promotional campaign requiring media rounds
  • Prior collaborative history between Cyrus and Alex Cooper or Call Her Daddy, including any previous interview offers or public interactions
  • Call Her Daddy's guest booking patterns in 2026 and whether music industry figures remain a primary focus for the show
  • Public statements from either Cyrus or Cooper regarding podcast participation or mutual interest
  • Industry calendar visibility—whether Cyrus announces new music, tours, or other projects requiring promotional interviews before year-end

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.