SimpleFunctions

England · KXWCW-27

England is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside KXWCW-27.

Price history

42¢ current

+32¢
25¢
Jul 22, 2026Jul 28, 2026

Contract brief

If England is the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

England

Rank

#3 of 9

Leader

Spain 22¢

Range

1¢-22¢

Family volume

$189

Identifier

KXWCW-27-ENG

Jul 28, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

42¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

15¢

Spread

24h volume

$5

Family rank

#3 of 9

9 outcomes · KXWCW-27

Closes

Aug 9, 2027

Family volume

$189

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 15¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
10¢500
10¢235
10¢2.0K
AskSize
15¢1.0K
15¢1.0K
50¢5
81¢49
82¢3.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If England is the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 9, 2027

Identifier

KXWCW-27-ENG

SF Signal
SF Index
435.83
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

871.7%

IY (No)

10.8%

Adj IY

436%

CRI

9

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

871.7%
10.8%
Adj IY
436%
9
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.