Eric Yonce · KXFLPRIMARY-06D26
Eric Yonce is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside KXFLPRIMARY-06D26.
Price history
72¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Eric Yonce wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Eric Yonce
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
Eric Yonce 70¢
Range
1¢-70¢
Family volume
$56
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-06D26-EYON
Aug 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$18
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · KXFLPRIMARY-06D26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$56
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Eric Yonce wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-06D26-EYON
Event family
KXFLPRIMARY-06D26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$56
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Eric Yonce 70¢
Current share
32%
Eric Yonce
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06D26-EYON
Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06D26-RMUR
Mark Davis
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06D26-MDAV
Robert Cooper
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06D26-RCOO
James Stockton
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06D26-JSTO
Steve Morgan
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-06D26-SMOR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 72% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.