Ferrari N.V. report Above 13500 total car shipments in 2026
Above 13500 is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 13 inside Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 1.
Price history
78¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 13500 total car shipments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 13500
Rank
#6 of 13
Leader
Above 13000 96¢
Range
4¢-96¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13500
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
78¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#6 of 13
13 outcomes · Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 1
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
78 / 79¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 13500 total car shipments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Identifier
KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13500
Event family
Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Above 13000 96¢
Current share
23%
Above 13000
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13000
Above 13100
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13100
Above 13300
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13300
Above 13200
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13200
Above 13400
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13400
Above 13500
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13500
Above 13600
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13600
Above 13700
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13700
Above 13800
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13800
Above 14000
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-14000
Above 13900
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-13900
Above 14100
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-14100
Above 14200
kalshi · KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-14200
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.