Ferrari · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26
Ferrari is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26.
Price history
4¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If Ferrari wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ferrari
Rank
#3 of 11
Leader
Mercedes AMG Motorsport 79¢
Range
1¢-79¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-FER
May 24, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#3 of 11
11 outcomes · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ferrari wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Identifier
KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-FER
Event family
KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Mercedes AMG Motorsport 79¢
Current share
37%
Mercedes AMG Motorsport
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-MER
McLaren
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-MCL
Ferrari
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-FER
Red Bull Racing
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-RED
Haas
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-HAA
Audi
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-AUD
Alpine
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-ALP
Racing Bulls
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-RAC
Williams
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-WIL
Aston Martin
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-AST
Cadillac
kalshi · KXF1CONSTRUCTORS-26-CAD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.