First Solar Inc. report Above 4200 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026
Above 4200 mw is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside Will First Solar Inc. report Above.
Price history
52¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If First Solar Inc. reports Above 4200 MW module volume sold in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 4200 mw
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Above 3700 mw 97¢
Range
4¢-97¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4200
Aug 7, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
48¢
Ask
52¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$7
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · Will First Solar Inc. report Above
Closes
Feb 25, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
48 / 52¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If First Solar Inc. reports Above 4200 MW module volume sold in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 25, 2027
Identifier
KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4200
Event family
Will First Solar Inc. report Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Above 3700 mw 97¢
Current share
0%
Above 3700 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-3700
Above 3800 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-3800
Above 3900 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-3900
Above 4000 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4000
Above 4100 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4100
Above 4200 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4200
Above 4300 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4300
Above 4400 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4400
Above 4600 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4600
Above 4500 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4500
Above 4700 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4700
Above 4800 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4800
Above 4900 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-4900
Above 5000 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-5000
Above 5200 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-5200
Above 5100 mw
kalshi · KXFSLR-26OCTMWSOLD-5100
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.