Ford Motor Company report Above 2.05 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026
Above 2.05 million is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 11 inside Will Ford Motor Company report Above.
Price history
51¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Ford Motor Company reports Above 2049999.9999999998 u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 2.05 million
Rank
#6 of 11
Leader
Above 1.8 million 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$16
Identifier
KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2049999.9999999998
Aug 22, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
52¢
Ask
59¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$16
Family rank
#6 of 11
11 outcomes · Will Ford Motor Company report Above
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Family volume
$16
Orderbook snapshot
52 / 59¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ford Motor Company reports Above 2049999.9999999998 u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Identifier
KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2049999.9999999998
Event family
Will Ford Motor Company report Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 1.8 million 94¢
Current share
100%
Above 1.8 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-1800000.0
Above 1.85 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-1850000.0
Above 1.95 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-1950000.0
Above 1.9 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-1900000.0
Above 2 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2000000.0
Above 2.05 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2049999.9999999998
Above 2.1 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2100000.0
Above 2.15 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2150000.0
Above 2.2 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2200000.0
Above 2.25 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2250000.0
Above 2.3 million
kalshi · KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2300000.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.