Ford Motor Company report Above 510 thousand total vehicles us sales volume in Q3 2026
Above 510 thousand is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Will Ford Motor Company report Above.
Price history
40¢ current
−9¢Contract brief
If Ford Motor Company reports Above 510000 total vehicles us sales volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 510 thousand
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
Above 510 thousand 62¢
Range
5¢-62¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXF-26OCTUSSALES-510000
Jul 11, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · Will Ford Motor Company report Above
Closes
Jan 29, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ford Motor Company reports Above 510000 total vehicles us sales volume in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 29, 2027
Identifier
KXF-26OCTUSSALES-510000
Event family
Will Ford Motor Company report Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Above 510 thousand 62¢
Current share
53%
Above 510 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-510000
Above 520 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-520000
Above 530 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-530000
Above 540 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-540000
Above 550 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-550000
Above 560 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-560000
Above 570 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-570000
Above 580 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-580000
Above 590 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-590000
Above 600 thousand
kalshi · KXF-26OCTUSSALES-600000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.