France · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26
France is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26.
Price history
56¢ current
+54¢Contract brief
If France wins 3 matches in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
France
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
England 66¢
Range
1¢-66¢
Family volume
$76K
Identifier
KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-FRA
Jun 21, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
55¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Family volume
$76K
Orderbook snapshot
55 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If France wins 3 matches in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-FRA
Event family
KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$76K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
England 66¢
Current share
5%
England
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-ENG
Argentina
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-ARG
Germany
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-GER
France
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-FRA
Mexico
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-MEX
USA
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-USA
Norway
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-NOR
Sweden
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-SWE
Brazil
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-BRA
Netherlands
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-NED
Portugal
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-POR
Spain
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-ESP
Japan
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-JPN
Morocco
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-MAR
Ivory Coast
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-CIV
Uruguay
kalshi · KXWCGSUNDEFEATED-26-URU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.