What is the current probability for "Will Frank Ocean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 14¢ (14% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027. 237 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Frank Ocean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1767.8% and 13.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Frank Ocean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Frank Ocean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 14¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 12¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

14¢

$0 volume

3.7 LAS liquidity

Event outcomes

Family volume

Best sibling

Chappell Roan 15¢

Ticker

KXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27-FRA

Market snapshot

Frank Ocean in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Frank Ocean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27 family, this outcome ranks #11 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Frank Ocean

Family rank

#11 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

14¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

—

Family context

16 outcomes · KXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27

Quote range

2¢-18¢

Family leader

Olivia Rodrigo 18¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27-FRA. Family volume: —.

Price history

14¢ current

+5¢

25¢50¢75¢100¢

Apr 11, 2026Apr 29, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 20¢

Kalshi

12¢ spread

BidSize

100¢614

8¢200

2¢130

AskSize

20¢200

76¢130

77¢60

78¢523

97¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Frank Ocean is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27-FRA

Event family

KXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

Outcomes

Highest price

Olivia Rodrigo 18¢

Current share

—

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Frank Ocean

kalshi · KXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27-FRA

8¢$0$0—

Chappell Roan

kalshi · KXKXMEDIAGUESTTINYDESK-27-CHA