What is the current probability for "Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 46¢ (46% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 7, 2028. 608 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 70.4% and 51.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJan 7, 2028608 days left

Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

46¢

$82 volume

$32 liquidity

Event outcomes

Family volume

Best sibling

Taylor Swift 15¢

Ticker

KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31-FRE

Market snapshot

Fred again.. in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?. The displayed quote is 46¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $82. In the KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Fred again..

Family rank

#2 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

46¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 7, 2028

Reported volume

$82

Family context

15 outcomes · KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31

Quote range

9¢-51¢

Family leader

Sabrina Carpenter 51¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31-FRE. Family volume: —.

Price history

46¢ current

+3¢

25¢50¢75¢100¢

Apr 30, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 53¢

Kalshi

7¢ spread

BidSize

46¢412

43¢14

21¢48

4¢200

3¢4.0K

AskSize

53¢6

54¢406

90¢200

91¢1.2K

99¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Fred again.. performs at Madison Square Garden 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 7, 2028

Identifier

KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31-FRE

Event family

KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

Outcomes

Highest price

Sabrina Carpenter 51¢

Current share

—

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Fred again..

kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31-FRE

46¢$0$0—

Taylor Swift

kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCEMSG-27DEC31-TAY