SimpleFunctions

Garrett Wilson · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250

Garrett Wilson is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 35¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250.

Price history

37¢ current

+2¢
35¢40¢
Aug 17, 2026Aug 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Garrett Wilson records 1250+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Garrett Wilson

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Justin Jefferson 45¢

Range

1¢-45¢

Family volume

$672

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250-GWILSON5

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 35m ago

Implied probability

37¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 35m ago

Bid

Ask

35¢

Spread

35¢

Reported volume

$679

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$672

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 35¢

Kalshi
35¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
35¢450
37¢383
41¢100
43¢75
50¢140

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Garrett Wilson records 1250+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250-GWILSON5

SF Signal
SF Index
194.75
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

389.5%

IY (No)

134.4%

Adj IY

195%

CRI

2

Overround

5.5%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

389.5%
134.4%
Adj IY
195%
2
Overround
5.5%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.