SimpleFunctions

General Hospital · KXDTEMMYS-CASTING26

General Hospital is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXDTEMMYS-CASTING26.

Price history

10¢ current

+4¢
5¢10¢
Aug 26, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If General Hospital wins the award for Outstanding Casting for a Daytime Program at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

General Hospital

Rank

#3 of 4

Leader

Beyond the Gates 69¢

Range

1¢-69¢

Family volume

$175

Identifier

KXDTEMMYS-CASTING26-GEN

Aug 27, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

11¢

Spread

24h volume

$130

Family rank

#3 of 4

4 outcomes · KXDTEMMYS-CASTING26

Closes

Oct 31, 2027

Family volume

$175

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢4.1K
10¢2.1K
9¢1.2K
3¢48
2¢1.8K
AskSize
11¢808
12¢200
18¢400
23¢549
83¢51

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If General Hospital wins the award for Outstanding Casting for a Daytime Program at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 31, 2027

Identifier

KXDTEMMYS-CASTING26-GEN

SF Signal
SF Index
382.17
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXDTEMMYS-CASTING26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$175

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Beyond the Gates 69¢

Current share

74%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

764.3%

IY (No)

9.4%

Adj IY

382%

CRI

9

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

764.3%
9.4%
Adj IY
382%
9
Overround
-0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.