SimpleFunctions

George Kittle · KXNFLWEEKCOMPETE-26W1

George Kittle is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXNFLWEEKCOMPETE-26W1.

Price history

28¢ current

19¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 16, 2026Aug 27, 2026

Contract brief

If George Kittle plays in a Pro Football game in Week 1 of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

George Kittle

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Vita Vea 97¢

Range

2¢-97¢

Family volume

$10K

Identifier

KXNFLWEEKCOMPETE-26W1-GKITTLE85

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 37m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 37m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

15¢

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLWEEKCOMPETE-26W1

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$10K

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 27¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
12¢5
11¢2
10¢18
3¢1.1K
2¢1.2K
AskSize
27¢117
28¢200
29¢327
31¢73
32¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If George Kittle plays in a Pro Football game in Week 1 of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLWEEKCOMPETE-26W1-GKITTLE85

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

15132.9%
231.2%
Adj IY
0%
8
RV
2812%
VR
2.60
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
13.0%
LAS
1.27

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.