Germany · KXUEFAEURO-28
Germany is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXUEFAEURO-28.
Price history
15¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Germany is the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Germany
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Spain 17¢
Range
1¢-17¢
Family volume
$589
Identifier
KXUEFAEURO-28-GER
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$127
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXUEFAEURO-28
Closes
Aug 15, 2028
Family volume
$589
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Germany is the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 15, 2028
Identifier
KXUEFAEURO-28-GER
Event family
KXUEFAEURO-28.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$589
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Spain 17¢
Current share
0%
Spain
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-ESP
England
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-ENG
France
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-FRA
Germany
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-GER
Portugal
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-POR
Croatia
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-CRO
Poland
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-POL
Ireland
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-IRL
Italy
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-ITA
Netherlands
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-NED
Georgia
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-GEO
Norway
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-NOR
Belgium
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-BEL
Denmark
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-DEN
Switzerland
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-SUI
Turkiye
kalshi · KXUEFAEURO-28-TUR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.