Golden State · KXNBAPACIFIC-26
Golden State is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside KXNBAPACIFIC-26.
Price history
21¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Golden State is the Pacific Division winner in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Golden State
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
Los Angeles L 52¢
Range
2¢-52¢
Family volume
$60
Identifier
KXNBAPACIFIC-26-GSW
Aug 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$45
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · KXNBAPACIFIC-26
Closes
Jul 14, 2027
Family volume
$60
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Golden State is the Pacific Division winner in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2027
Identifier
KXNBAPACIFIC-26-GSW
Event family
KXNBAPACIFIC-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$60
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Los Angeles L 52¢
Current share
75%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.