Will Gracie Abrams's 'Daughter From Hell ' debut at #1: Daughter From Hell · KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG01-DAU
Will Gracie Abrams's 'Daughter From Hell ' debut at #1: Daughter From Hell is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
71¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Daughter From Hell is the #1 album on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Gracie Abrams's 'Daughter From Hell ' debut at #1: Daughter From Hell
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$39
Identifier
KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG01-DAU
Jun 27, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$14
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$39
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Daughter From Hell is the #1 album on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG01-DAU
Event family
KXALBUMDEBUT-26AUG01-DAU.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$39
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Gracie Abrams's 'Daughter From Hell ' debut at #1: Daughter From Hell 70¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 71% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.