Graham Platner receive at least 85% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary
At least 85% is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Graham Platner receive.
Price history
1¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 85% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 85%
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
70% - 75% 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-92
Jun 27, 2026, 7:02 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$8K
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Graham Platner receive
Closes
Jun 9, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary is 85% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 9, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-92
Event family
Will Graham Platner receive.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
70% - 75% 99¢
Current share
—
70% - 75%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-72
At least 85%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-92
Below 60%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-30
60% - 65%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-62
65% - 70%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-67
75% - 80%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-77
80% - 85%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMED26GPLA-82
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.