SimpleFunctions

Grand Theft Auto VI

Above 90M is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 48¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above.

Price history

59¢ current

+24¢
50¢
Sep 24, 2026Sep 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 90M streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 90M

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Above 10M 97¢

Range

25¢-97¢

Family volume

$22K

Identifier

KXALBUMSTREAMS-GTA626NOV26-90.0M

Sep 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 50m ago

Implied probability

59¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 50m ago

Bid

42¢

Ask

90¢

Spread

48¢

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above

Closes

Nov 29, 2026

Family volume

$22K

Orderbook snapshot

42 / 90¢

Kalshi
48¢ spread
BidSize
42¢356
35¢200
34¢6
33¢40
32¢140
AskSize
90¢2.2K
92¢39
95¢1.4K
98¢46
99¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI has above 90M streams during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 29, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMSTREAMS-GTA626NOV26-90.0M

SF Signal
SF Index
313.53
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

627.1%

IY (No)

493.1%

Adj IY

314%

CRI

1

Overround

12.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

627.1%
493.1%
Adj IY
314%
1
Overround
12.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.