Will Pick You Up by Sheryl Crow have above 50000 streams during the October 09, 2026 - October 15, 2026 tracking week
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 72% across 12 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
72%
12 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
12 contracts
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
52 days
Bracket families
2 clusters across 12 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 1000000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 1M
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-1.0M
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 7500000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 7.5M
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-7.5M
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 50000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 50K
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-50K
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 500000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 500K
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-500K
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 5000000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 5M
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-5.0M
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 3500000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 3.5M
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-3.5M
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 250000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 250K
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-250K
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 2000000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 2M
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-2.0M
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 100000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 100K
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-100K
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above 10000000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 10M
KXALBUMSTREAMS-EVE26NOV05-10.0M
Cluster 2
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 3500000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 3.5M
KXALBUMSTREAMS-FOR26NOV05-3.5M
Will Forever by The Big Moon have above 50000 streams during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?: Above 50K
KXALBUMSTREAMS-FOR26NOV05-50K
Analysis
This market tracks whether Sheryl Crow's song 'Pick You Up' will achieve more than 50,000 streams during the week of October 9-15, 2026. The 20% probability suggests low confidence in the track reaching this threshold. Crow, a 1990s rock artist, faces challenges typical of established acts releasing new material: competing against contemporary streaming habits, algorithm placement, and promotional reach. The song's performance depends on several variables including whether it receives significant radio or playlist support, its chart momentum in preceding weeks, and overall market conditions for rock music streaming. The resolution occurs when Spotify reports official weekly streaming data for that tracking period, providing a clear binary outcome. A key consideration is the timing—whether the track benefits from promotional activities, media appearances, or chart performance in the weeks leading up to the tracked period.
- ›Sheryl Crow's historical streaming performance and current audience size relative to the 50K threshold for a single week
- ›Playlist placement on major Spotify curated lists (New Music Daily, RapCaviar alternatives, genre-specific playlists) which typically drive streaming volume for established artists
- ›Radio airplay and media promotion in the week preceding and during October 9-15, which often correlates with streaming upticks
- ›Competition from new releases by other major artists during the same tracking week that might fragment listener attention
- ›The song's cumulative momentum and listener retention from its initial release through early October 2026
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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