Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.0%
Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.0% is priced at 96¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
96¢ current
+94¢Contract brief
If the headline PCE inflation for August 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.0%
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXPCEHEAD-26SEP30-T0.0
Sep 20, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
92¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
92 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the headline PCE inflation for August 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
Identifier
KXPCEHEAD-26SEP30-T0.0
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.0% 96¢
Current share
—
Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.0%
kalshi · KXPCEHEAD-26SEP30-T0.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 96% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.