SimpleFunctions

Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 above 102

Above 102 is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 11 inside Will Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above.

Price history

19¢ current

+17¢
0¢10¢20¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 5, 2026

Contract brief

If the Carbon Arc Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 102, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 102

Rank

#10 of 11

Leader

Above 92 81¢

Range

6¢-81¢

Family volume

$733

Identifier

KXHDCC-26SEP07-T102

Aug 5, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 5, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

17¢

Spread

24h volume

$75

Family rank

#10 of 11

11 outcomes · Will Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Family volume

$733

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 17¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢8.8K
16¢6
15¢95
3¢750
2¢3.0K
AskSize
17¢48
18¢569
19¢212
20¢225
29¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Carbon Arc Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 102, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Identifier

KXHDCC-26SEP07-T102

SF Signal
SF Index
5459.91
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5459.9%

IY (No)

229.0%

Adj IY

5460%

CRI

5

RV

1725%

VR

1.99

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5459.9%
229.0%
Adj IY
5460%
5
RV
1725%
VR
1.99
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
4.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.