Will Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above 100

30-day trend

Analysis

This probability indicates that markets assess a roughly even chance that Home Depot's monthly credit card spending will exceed $100 in August 2026. The current market pricing clusters tightly around $92-95 thresholds, with notably lower conviction above $100, suggesting modest uncertainty about whether spending reaches that higher level. Seasonal factors, consumer spending patterns, and housing market activity through August would be primary drivers. The resolution depends on Home Depot's reported credit card transaction data for the month, typically disclosed in quarterly or monthly financial reports. Historical spending trends, back-to-school shopping timing in late August, and any major economic shifts affecting retail traffic will influence the final outcome.

• ›Market pricing shows a 51% probability at the $92 threshold but only 3% at the $100 threshold, indicating steep skepticism of higher spending levels
• ›August includes back-to-school and late-summer home improvement seasons, which typically drive consumer spending at home improvement retailers
• ›No recent 24-hour trading volume on any contract suggests thin liquidity and potentially unreliable price discovery on this specific outcome
• ›Historical Home Depot credit card spending patterns and year-over-year comparisons for August would establish baseline expectations for 2026
• ›Resolution depends on Home Depot's official reporting methodology and timing for credit card transaction data disclosure

What moved the line

• Aug 6Above 92↑20pp69→89¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 6Above 93↑18pp67→85¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 6Above 94↑17pp63→80¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 5Above 93↑12pp55→67¢ · Kalshi
• Aug 5Above 92↑12pp57→69¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

• Who will be Trump's next Attorney Generallast 97% · 1d
• Will the number of Cabinet nominees confirmed by the Senate be exactly 3 after Issuance and before the 2026 August recesslast 7% · 1d
• Will it be reported by U.S. Senate that the U.S. Senate adjourns from substantive floor business for its August 2026 recess before Aug 9, 2026last 94% · 1d
• Will Ralph Norman announce a run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026last 4% · 2d
• Will there be at least 3 presidential nominations sent to the Senate in the week of Jul 19, 2026last 46% · 4d

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds