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Houston · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T3

Houston is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T3.

Price history

35¢ current

+30¢
0¢25¢
Jul 30, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Houston finishes in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Houston

Rank

#5 of 11

Leader

Texas Tech 65¢

Range

2¢-65¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T3-HOU

Aug 26, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 54m ago

Implied probability

35¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 26, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 54m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

34¢

Spread

20¢

Reported volume

$27

Family rank

#5 of 11

11 outcomes · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T3

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 34¢

Kalshi
20¢ spread
BidSize
14¢250
11¢5
10¢100
AskSize
34¢250
98¢4.7K
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Houston finishes in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T3-HOU

SF Signal
SF Index
627.11
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1254.2%

IY (No)

39.1%

Adj IY

627%

CRI

6

Overround

1.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1254.2%
39.1%
Adj IY
627%
6
Overround
1.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.