I Knew It, I Knew You · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25
I Knew It, I Knew You is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25.
Price history
15¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If I Knew It, I Knew You is the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
I Knew It, I Knew You
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Choosin' Texas 88¢
Range
1¢-88¢
Family volume
$27K
Identifier
KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-IKN
Jun 25, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$20K
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25
Closes
Jul 25, 2026
Family volume
$27K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If I Knew It, I Knew You is the #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 25, 2026
Identifier
KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-IKN
Event family
KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$27K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Choosin' Texas 88¢
Current share
91%
Choosin' Texas
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-CHO
I Knew It, I Knew You
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-IKN
stupid song
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-STU
hate that i made you love me
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-HAT
drop dead
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-DRO
the cure
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-CUR
Janice STFU
kalshi · KXRANKLIST1SONG-26JUL25-JAN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.