Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 above 97.5 TWh
Above 97.5 TWh is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above.
Price history
40¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 97.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 97.5 TWh
Rank
#5 of 7
Leader
Above 87.5 TWh 96¢
Range
4¢-96¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T97.5
Aug 24, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#5 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If EIA reports that Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for calendar year 2026 is above 97.5 TWh, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 28, 2027
Identifier
KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T97.5
Event family
Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 87.5 TWh 96¢
Current share
67%
Above 87.5 TWh
kalshi · KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T87.5
Above 90.0 TWh
kalshi · KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T90.0
Above 92.5 TWh
kalshi · KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T92.5
Above 95.0 TWh
kalshi · KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T95.0
Above 97.5 TWh
kalshi · KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T97.5
Above 100.0 TWh
kalshi · KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T100.0
Above 102.5 TWh
kalshi · KXILNUCLEAR-27FEB28-T102.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.