Indiana win at least 10 games this season
10+ wins is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will Indiana win at least.
Price history
73¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If the Indiana college football team has at least 10 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
10+ wins
Rank
#5 of 7
Leader
6+ wins 91¢
Range
20¢-91¢
Family volume
$145
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-10
Sep 21, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$10K
Family rank
#5 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Indiana win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$145
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 76¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Indiana college football team has at least 10 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-10
Event family
Will Indiana win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$145
Outcomes
7
Highest price
6+ wins 91¢
Current share
0%
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-6
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-8
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-7
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-9
10+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-10
11+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-11
12 wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.