Indiana win at least 11 games this season
11+ wins is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will Indiana win at least.
Price history
30¢ current
+28¢Contract brief
If the Indiana college football team has at least 11 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
11+ wins
Rank
#5 of 6
Leader
6+ wins 51¢
Range
13¢-51¢
Family volume
$15
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-11
May 25, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
20¢
24h volume
$15
Family rank
#5 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Indiana win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$15
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Indiana college football team has at least 11 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26IND-11
Event family
Will Indiana win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15
Outcomes
6
Highest price
6+ wins 51¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.