Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win to win Will Iowa Governor
Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will Iowa Governor winner.
Price history
37¢ current
−16¢Contract brief
If ALL of the following occur: Iowa Governor winner: Republican party, Iowa Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win 36¢
Range
3¢-36¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP
Jul 13, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$162
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Iowa Governor winner
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of the following occur: Iowa Governor winner: Republican party, Iowa Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP
Event family
Will Iowa Governor winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win 36¢
Current share
14%
Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win
kalshi · KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
kalshi · KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMREP
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
kalshi · KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM
Zach Lahn and Josh Turek win
kalshi · KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.