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Before Aug 1, 2026 · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before

Before Aug 1, 2026 is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 65¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before.

Price history

65¢ current

+29¢
25¢50¢75¢
Jun 9, 2026Jun 19, 2026

Contract brief

If the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Aug 1, 2026

Rank

#4 of 4

Leader

Before Jan 1, 2027 80¢

Range

65¢-80¢

Family volume

$14

Identifier

KXBLANCHEJUDICIARY-27-26AUG01

Jun 27, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

65¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 27, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

65¢

Ask

68¢

Spread

24h volume

$14

Family rank

#4 of 4

4 outcomes · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$14

Orderbook snapshot

65 / 68¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
65¢117
62¢200
61¢100
60¢300
59¢100
AskSize
68¢152
69¢100
70¢200
81¢148
82¢99

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXBLANCHEJUDICIARY-27-26AUG01

SF Signal
SF Index
966.24
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee reports Todd Blanche's nomination to be U.S. Attorney General to the full Senate before.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$14

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Before Jan 1, 2027 80¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

560.3%

IY (No)

1932.5%

Adj IY

966%

CRI

2

Overround

2.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

560.3%
1932.5%
Adj IY
966%
2
Overround
2.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.