Before Aug 1, 2026 · Will it be reported that the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell before
Before Aug 1, 2026 is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will it be reported that the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell before.
Price history
11¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell after May 04 02:00 PM ET and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Aug 1, 2026
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 15¢
Range
1¢-15¢
Family volume
$1
Identifier
KXDOJPOWELL-27-AUG01
Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will it be reported that the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell before
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$1
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell after May 04 02:00 PM ET and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXDOJPOWELL-27-AUG01
Event family
Will it be reported that the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 15¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.