Ivar Stenberg · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2
Ivar Stenberg is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2.
Price history
89¢ current
+38¢Contract brief
If Ivar Stenberg is selected as the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ivar Stenberg
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
Ivar Stenberg 85¢
Range
1¢-85¢
Family volume
$21K
Identifier
KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-ISTE
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
85¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$7K
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2
Closes
Jul 4, 2026
Family volume
$21K
Orderbook snapshot
85 / 89¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ivar Stenberg is selected as the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 4, 2026
Identifier
KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-ISTE
Event family
KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$21K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Ivar Stenberg 85¢
Current share
35%
Ivar Stenberg
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-ISTE
Keaton Verhoeff
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-KVER
Alberts Smits
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-ASMI
Chase Reid
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-CREI
Gavin McKenna
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-GMCK
Viggo Bjorck
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-VBJO
Carson Carels
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-CCAR
Caleb Malhotra
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-CMAL
Daxon Rudolph
kalshi · KXNHLDRAFTPICK-26-2-DRUD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 89% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.