Jack Schlossberg receive between 15% and 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary
15% - 20% is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will Jack Schlossberg receive.
Price history
1¢ current
−11¢Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jack Schlossberg in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary is 15% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
15% - 20%
Rank
#5 of 7
Leader
10% - 15% 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-17
Jun 24, 2026, 5:06 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Jack Schlossberg receive
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jack Schlossberg in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary is 15% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-17
Event family
Will Jack Schlossberg receive.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
10% - 15% 90¢
Current share
21%
10% - 15%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-12
5% - 10%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-7
At least 30%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-65
25% - 30%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-27
15% - 20%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-17
20% - 25%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-22
Below 5%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.