Jack Schlossberg receive between 25% and 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary
25% - 30% is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will Jack Schlossberg receive.
Price history
2¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jack Schlossberg in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
25% - 30%
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
10% - 15% 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$55
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-27
Jun 25, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$5K
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Jack Schlossberg receive
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Family volume
$55
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jack Schlossberg in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-27
Event family
Will Jack Schlossberg receive.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$55
Outcomes
7
Highest price
10% - 15% 90¢
Current share
0%
10% - 15%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-12
5% - 10%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-7
At least 30%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-65
25% - 30%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-27
Below 5%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-2
15% - 20%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-17
20% - 25%
kalshi · KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXNY12D26JSCHJSCH-22
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.