Will Jacoby Brissett be starting quarterback for Arizona in Week 1?

Prediction markets currently give a 75% probability that Will Jacoby Brissett be starting quarterback for Arizona in Week 1?. This contract trades at 75¢ on Kalshi, closing September 15, 2026. The market has seen dramatic price appreciation over seven days, surging from 6¢ to 75¢, suggesting either new information favoring Brissett's starter status or shifting market sentiment around Arizona's QB situation.

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75¢
Bid/Ask 65/94¢·Spread 29¢·Vol $0·OI $62.96·Closes Sep 15, 2026·142d remaining
KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-ARI-JBRI
7-day price19 snapshots · 5 regime
98¢65¢ current
Apr 131¢Apr 24

Analysis

6d ago

The market has seen dramatic price appreciation over seven days, surging from 6¢ to 75¢, suggesting either new information favoring Brissett's starter status or shifting market sentiment around Arizona's QB situation. The 24¢ spread and minimal $0 volume indicate severe illiquidity despite $62.96 open interest, making the 75% probability potentially unreliable as a true consensus estimate. The extreme 601.2% implied yield on the No side reflects the wide bid-ask gap and low liquidity rather than genuine market conviction, warranting caution before treating this price as a reliable signal with 149 days to expiration.

Resolution rules

If Jacoby Brissett is officially designated as Arizona's starting quarterback for Week 1 of the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 138.0%
IY (No) 476.1%
Adj IY 238%
CRI 2
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)138.0%
IY (No)476.1%
Adj IY238%
CRI2

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
29¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 6:41:42 PM
Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 6:38:28 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXSTARTINGQBWEEK1-W1-26SEP15-ARI-JBRI yes 100

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