SimpleFunctions

Jadarian Price be a top 5 fantasy rookie in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

Jadarian Price is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 84¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27ROOKT5.

Price history

16¢ current

+5¢
10¢20¢
Aug 24, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Jadarian Price finishes top 5 in scoring among rookies for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jadarian Price

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Jeremiyah Love 55¢

Range

1¢-55¢

Family volume

$915

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27ROOKT5-JPRICE8

Aug 25, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 25, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

84¢

Reported volume

$48

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27ROOKT5

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$915

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 96¢

Kalshi
84¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
12¢5
11¢181
AskSize
96¢5
97¢5
98¢150
99¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jadarian Price finishes top 5 in scoring among rookies for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27ROOKT5-JPRICE8

SF Signal
SF Index
917.49
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1835.0%

IY (No)

34.1%

Adj IY

917%

CRI

7

Overround

2.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1835.0%
34.1%
Adj IY
917%
7
Overround
2.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.