SimpleFunctions

Jadarian Price be the #1 ranked fantasy rookie in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

Jadarian Price is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 39¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK.

Price history

46¢ current

+44¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 24, 2026Sep 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Jadarian Price finishes #1 in scoring among rookies for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jadarian Price

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Carnell Tate 29¢

Range

1¢-29¢

Family volume

$37

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK-JPRICE8

Sep 21, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

46¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

Ask

44¢

Spread

39¢

24h volume

$62

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$37

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 44¢

Kalshi
39¢ spread
BidSize
5¢6
4¢10
3¢100
2¢88
AskSize
44¢5
45¢10
46¢45
50¢51
52¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jadarian Price finishes #1 in scoring among rookies for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK-JPRICE8

SF Signal
SF Index
4937.32
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9874.6%

IY (No)

9.4%

Adj IY

4937%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9874.6%
9.4%
Adj IY
4937%
32
Overround
-0.4%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.