SimpleFunctions

Makai Lemon · KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK

Makai Lemon is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK.

Price history

2¢ current

0¢5¢
Aug 24, 2026Sep 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Makai Lemon finishes #1 in scoring among rookies for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Makai Lemon

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Jadarian Price 25¢

Range

1¢-25¢

Family volume

$435

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK-MLEMON9

Sep 16, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 16, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

Ask

15¢

Spread

15¢

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$435

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 15¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
15¢35
17¢50
32¢100
76¢494
77¢86

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Makai Lemon finishes #1 in scoring among rookies for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADER-27ROOK-MLEMON9

SF Signal
SF Index
4768.58
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9537.2%

IY (No)

9.1%

Adj IY

4769%

CRI

32

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9537.2%
9.1%
Adj IY
4769%
32
Overround
0.2%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.