Will James Comer receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-01 House election
Will James Comer receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-01 House election is priced at 13¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
13¢ current
Contract brief
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Comer in the 2026 KY-01 House election is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will James Comer receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-01 House election
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-KY01-26JCOM-76
Sep 24, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Comer in the 2026 KY-01 House election is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-KY01-26JCOM-76
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will James Comer receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-01 House election 13¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.