Jan Schneider · KXFLPRIMARY-16D26
Jan Schneider is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXFLPRIMARY-16D26.
Price history
27¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Jan Schneider wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jan Schneider
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Kelly Kirschner 65¢
Range
1¢-65¢
Family volume
$1
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-16D26-JSCH
Aug 9, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXFLPRIMARY-16D26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$1
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jan Schneider wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-16D26-JSCH
Event family
KXFLPRIMARY-16D26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Kelly Kirschner 65¢
Current share
0%
Kelly Kirschner
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-16D26-KKIR
Jan Schneider
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-16D26-JSCH
Adam Hattersley
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-16D26-AHAT
Glenn Pearson
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-16D26-GPEA
Jon Harris
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-16D26-JHAR
Tamika Lyles
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-16D26-TLYL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.