Jason Kelce · KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01
Jason Kelce is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01.
Price history
90¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Jason Kelce served as Groomsman at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jason Kelce
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
Jason Kelce 75¢
Range
1¢-75¢
Family volume
$796
Identifier
KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01-JAS
Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
15¢
24h volume
$512
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Family volume
$796
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jason Kelce served as Groomsman at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Identifier
KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01-JAS
Event family
KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$796
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Jason Kelce 75¢
Current share
63%
Jason Kelce
kalshi · KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01-JAS
Patrick Mahomes
kalshi · KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01-PAT
Aric Jones
kalshi · KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01-ARI
Kumar Ferguson
kalshi · KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01-KUM
Austin Swift
kalshi · KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01-AUS
Harrison Butker
kalshi · KXTRAVISKELCEWEDDING-30JAN01-HAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.